South Canada vs. Rest of Canada voting patterns
In analyzing Canada's voting patterns in Federal elections, I've noticed an odd detail which has been overlooked by most other students of Canadian politics:
1. Most Canadian voters live SOUTH of the 49th parallel:
Quebec City, Quebec 46° 49' 00" N - 71° 13' 00" W
Montreal, Quebec 45° 31' 00" N - 73° 39' 00" W
Ottawa, Ontario 45° 16' 00" N - 75° 45' 00" W
Toronto, Ontario 43° 42' 00" N - 79° 25' 00" W
London, Ontario 42° 59' 00" N - 81° 14' 00" W
Hamilton, Ontario 43° 14' 00" N - 79° 57' 00" W
Windsor, Ontario 42° 18' 00" N - 83° 01' 00" W
Charlottetown, PEI 46° 14' 25" N - 63° 08' 05" W
Moncton, NB 46° 06' 57" N - 64° 48' 11" W
Halifax, NS 44° 52' 00" N - 63° 43' 00" W
Only four major Canadian population centres, east of Manitoba, are situated at or north of Seattle (47°37'35" N - 122°19'59" W). These four cities are still south of the 49th parallel:
St. John's Nfld. 47° 34' 00" N - 52° 44' 00" W
Saguenay, Quebec 48° 25' 00" N - 71° 04' 00" W
Rimouski, Quebec 48° 27' 00" N - 68° 32' 00" W
Thunder Bay, Ontario 48° 24' 00" N - 89° 19' 00" W
2. The voting patterns and historical election results from Canada's South (ridings south of the 49th parallel) may be dramatically different from those north of the 49th. Has anyone actually documented the possibility that "Southern Canadians" may be as a group much more inclined to vote left-wing than "Northern Canadians" using the simple definition of the 49th parallel?
Does anyone see some significance to the geographic isolation of "Southeast Canada" and how it may contribute to a vastly different concept of "nation" and political perspective? Not only are there 16 million Canadians living in the "Quebec City - Windsor corridor", but it appears that the majority of Canada's voters in Federal elections actually live south of Seattle - and in most cases several hundred kilometres south of their fellow countrymen in places like Edmonton, Red Deer, Saskatoon, Regina, Brandon, Prince George, and even Vancouver.
1. Most Canadian voters live SOUTH of the 49th parallel:
Quebec City, Quebec 46° 49' 00" N - 71° 13' 00" W
Montreal, Quebec 45° 31' 00" N - 73° 39' 00" W
Ottawa, Ontario 45° 16' 00" N - 75° 45' 00" W
Toronto, Ontario 43° 42' 00" N - 79° 25' 00" W
London, Ontario 42° 59' 00" N - 81° 14' 00" W
Hamilton, Ontario 43° 14' 00" N - 79° 57' 00" W
Windsor, Ontario 42° 18' 00" N - 83° 01' 00" W
Charlottetown, PEI 46° 14' 25" N - 63° 08' 05" W
Moncton, NB 46° 06' 57" N - 64° 48' 11" W
Halifax, NS 44° 52' 00" N - 63° 43' 00" W
Only four major Canadian population centres, east of Manitoba, are situated at or north of Seattle (47°37'35" N - 122°19'59" W). These four cities are still south of the 49th parallel:
St. John's Nfld. 47° 34' 00" N - 52° 44' 00" W
Saguenay, Quebec 48° 25' 00" N - 71° 04' 00" W
Rimouski, Quebec 48° 27' 00" N - 68° 32' 00" W
Thunder Bay, Ontario 48° 24' 00" N - 89° 19' 00" W
2. The voting patterns and historical election results from Canada's South (ridings south of the 49th parallel) may be dramatically different from those north of the 49th. Has anyone actually documented the possibility that "Southern Canadians" may be as a group much more inclined to vote left-wing than "Northern Canadians" using the simple definition of the 49th parallel?
Does anyone see some significance to the geographic isolation of "Southeast Canada" and how it may contribute to a vastly different concept of "nation" and political perspective? Not only are there 16 million Canadians living in the "Quebec City - Windsor corridor", but it appears that the majority of Canada's voters in Federal elections actually live south of Seattle - and in most cases several hundred kilometres south of their fellow countrymen in places like Edmonton, Red Deer, Saskatoon, Regina, Brandon, Prince George, and even Vancouver.
Comments
If the the seats for provinces whose populations are totally south of the 49th parallel, or (in the case of ON, QC and NL) almost totally south of the 49th, were separately computed based on the 2004 Election, here were the results (from east to west):
Newfoundland and Labrador (7 seats)
Liberal: 5
Conservative: 2
Prince Edward Island (4 seats)
Liberal: 4
Nova Scotia (11 seats)
Liberal: 6
Conservative: 3
NDP: 2
New Brunswick (10 seats)
Liberal: 7
Conservative: 2
NDP: 1
Quebec (75 seats)
Liberal: 21
Bloc: 54
Ontario (106 seats)
Liberal: 75
Conservative: 24
NDP: 7
The 6 provinces which comprise "Southern Canada" control 213 seats in the House of Commons.
IN 2004, "Southern Canada" elected the following to the House of Commons:
118 Liberal (of 213)
54 Bloc
31 Conservative
12 NDP
In 2004, "Northern Canada" (areas north of the 49th parallel) elected the following to "their" 95-seat House of Commons:
Manitoba (14 seats)
Liberal 3
Conservative 7
NDP 4
Saskatchewan (14 seats)
Liberal 1
Conservative 7
NDP 4
Alberta (28 seats)
Liberal 2
Conservative 26
NDP 0
British Columbia (36 seats)
Liberal 8
Conservative 22
NDP 5
Independent 1
Yukon (1 seat)
Liberal 1
Northwest Territories (1 seat)
Liberal 1
Nunavut (1 seat)
Liberal 1
So out of Northern Canada's 2004 results, the 95 seats are as follows:
Conservative: 62 (out of 95 seats)
Liberal: 17 (out of 95)
NDP: 13
Ind: 1